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Estoril Arouca betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Estoril will aim to win the match, but in a very cautious manner. Confidence is at a low, and any risk could prove fatal, potentially leading to a loss. Considering that Arouca has also not been a high-scoring team and that a draw represents a point gained, this match is likely to see few goals. Betting on under 2.5 goals is the recommended wager for this clash.

Sugestão do editor

Under 2,5 goals

Odd 1.52

Bet here
Odds may vary. Gamble responsibly: 18+ age limit, BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply.
Preview
Estoril and Arouca meet at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, in a match for the 9th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 2 wins for each team in the last 4 head‑to‑heads. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, on 20‑01‑2024, for the Primeira Liga, Arouca won by (1‑2). Rafik Guitane (3' ) scored for Estoril and Tiago Esgaio (45' ) and Rafa Mújica (8' ) for Arouca. Estoril registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Estoril

The home team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 6 points won, after 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Sporting CP, by (0‑3). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Farense, by (1‑0). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a away loss against Lusitano Évora 1911 by (4‑3), after a penalty shootout. For the league, Estoril won 4 points out of 12 possible points, after 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 4 home matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 9 of the last 22 have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 2 of the last 8 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 2 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. In 8 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

The Estoril team continues to face significant difficulties in Liga Portugal. It has already been mentioned in previous analyses that I. Cathro lacks experience in the top division, and this factor is crucial for good performance in the Portuguese league. There was a series of four games where the "canarinha" side seemed to be consolidating their processes, but this did not materialize. The 0-3 defeat against Sporting reopened a negative cycle, followed by a 1-0 loss in Faro, which allowed the Algarve side to earn their first points in the league. As if that weren't enough, Estoril has just been eliminated early from the Taça de Portugal by the modest Lusitano Évora 1911, a team playing three tiers below the top division. Now, in this ninth round against Arouca, Estoril has no choice but to win to avoid prolonging this crisis, or even for I. Cathro to maintain the confidence of the Estoril management.

Analysis Arouca

The away team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 7 points won, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Porto, by (4‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against AVS, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got an away win against Maria da Fonte by (0‑5). In the last 4 away league matches Arouca has a record of 1 win and 3 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 12 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition. In 8 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 6 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

The Arouca team is not in a much different situation than their opponents in this ninth round. They have only one more point, sitting in 13th place. The similarities with Estoril are not just in the colour of their kits or their identical points tally, but also because both teams have opted for coaches without experience in the Portuguese league. Unlike Estoril, Arouca has progressed to the next round of the Taça de Portugal after defeating Maria da Fonte 5-0. They previously recorded a home draw against AVS (1-1) and a defeat to FC Porto (4-0). Even with just one more point than Estoril, Arouca can approach this away match with two possible scenarios, as a draw would not be a bad result for them.

Sugestão do editor

Under 2,5 goals

Odd 1.52

Bet here
Odds may vary. Gamble responsibly: 18+ age limit, BeGambleAware.org. T&Cs apply.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Estoril vs Arouca match, on 26 October 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Tanzania, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Estoril vs Arouca on 26 October 2024 will be played at Estoril, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Tanzania, for the Estoril Arouca match, on the "match odds" market, was a draw at with 55% of the tips.

 

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Primeira Liga - 2024/2025

  • 24% 73 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 52.05%
  • Draws 23.29%
  • Away team wins 24.66%
  • Over 1.5 65.75%
  • Over 2.5 43.84%
  • Over 3.5 20.55%
  • Goals 172
  • Goals /match 2.36
  • Goals /match home 1.34
  • Goals /match away 1.01
  • Both teams score 36.99%
  • Goals after 80' 18.6%
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